New Masterworking numbers! Now with enchants!

Since it's been a couple months since my last post on this subject and people continue to make dubious claims about this system, let's do this again!

Here are my current masterworking results:


And new for this post, Enchanting!


The green and blue highlights are my most recent probabilities(blue indicates Wayland Loop values).

As before, P is the probability of the attempt in decimal notation, Successes, Failures, and Total Trials are self explanatory, O is the observed ratio of successes to total trials at the given P, O-P is the difference between the observed result and the predicted result, and (O-P)^2 is the square of the previous column. Sums and averages are at the bottom.

The weighted columns are new, and the outlined box in the bottom right is an easy shorthand, showing the observed difference between theoretical and experimental results. (Note that the "average" in the weighted columns is the sum of the column divided by the total number of trials, rather than a true average of the column)

In short: the observed result over 1303 trials is that the system is weighted in the player's favor by about 1%.

This is not a post arguing for or against the RNG system (personally I don't like it the way it is implemented), but please stop complaining about the RNG itself. The evidence is that it works properly, please be more constructive.

 

Appreciate the work gone into this, thank you!

 

Some guys have all the luck lol

 

Yes, obviously statistics means nothing and 1300 trials is "luck".

 

what the hell are those charts all about?

i have NO IDEA what you are talking about there.

 

What a civil way to ask for clarification.

 

He's talking math. Most people when talking about the RNG use the Trump's English.

 

"The people who want English to be the official language of the United States are uncomfortable with their leaders being fluent in it."